Esoteric Forex Drama Blasts Bonds, Maybe
Esoteric Forex Drama Blasts Bonds, Maybe
Friday was very much NOT on the beaten path of typical bond market considerations with most of the selling arguably stemming from Japanese currency intervention. We've seen similar episodes in the past, but today's installment came with a twist. In addition to Japan confirming it was selling foreign bonds to prop up Yen values, the U.S. Treasury also apparently got involved. It warned dealers that it could make trades to support the Yen. No one but those involved knows if that means anything beyond using the ESF to execute currency trades, but the net effect seems to have been to grease the skids for U.S. accounts to sell Treasuries first and ask questions later. This isn't necessarily the final story either. It was also month-end, and it's also the week before the jobs report on a summertime Friday. Volume was fairly light relative to the size of the sell-off.
Econ Data / Events
Employment costsQ2
0.9% vs 0.8% f'cast, 0.9% prev
Market Movement Recap
08:39 AM Weaker after ECI data. MBS down about an eighth and 10yr up 2.3bps at 4.696
10:29 AM Sharply weaker. MBS down a quarter point and 10yr up 4.9bps at 4.722
01:06 PM Weakest levels. MBS down almost 3/8ths and 10yr up 6.2bps at 4.736Categories
Recent Posts

Decent Mid-Day Recovery But No Change to Bigger Picture

Mortgage Rates Start Higher, But Some Lenders Recovered

Sep. 14: Verification, Non-QM, Processing, Agentic AI Tools; LOs as Financial Strategists; Equity Study

Different Week, Same Selling

AM Rally Completely Erased By The Close

Mortgage Rates Held Fairly Steady Until Late in The Day

Existing Home Sales Dip Below 4 Million as Inventory Builds

Refi Demand Declining Even Before Most Recent Rate Spike

AI Warehouse, Compliance Education Tools; Rocket's Limits; Who is Prepaying; Inflation = Higher Rates

Paradoxical Rally in Bonds Thanks to Higher Fed Hike Odds
GET MORE INFORMATION


